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[2019-09-09]摩根大通推出 “ Volfefe 指数” 用来衡量特朗普推文对市场的影响

文章原始标题:JPMorgan creates 'Volfefe index' to measure Trump tweets' impact on market
国外来源地址:https://thehill.com/policy/finance/460452-jp-morgan-creates-volfefe-index-to-measure-trumps-tweets-impact-on-the-market
该译文由蓝林网编辑,转载请声明来源(蓝林网)

内容简介:为了防止可能的经济衰退,摩根大通创建了一个指数来追踪和量化特朗普总统的影响 CNBC报道称,“ Volfefe 指数”——指的是特朗普病毒式传播的“ covfefe”推特消息——旨在解释和衡量特朗普的
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文章内容:
JPMorgan has created an index to track and quantify the impact President TrumpDonald John TrumpTo thwart a possible recession.
CNBC reports that the "Volfefe Index" — a reference to Trump’s viral "covfefe" tweet — aims to explain and measure how Trump’s tweets impact volatility in U.S. interest rates.

为了防止可能的经济衰退,摩根大通创建了一个指数来追踪和量化特朗普总统的影响
CNBC报道称,“ Volfefe 指数”——指的是特朗普病毒式传播的“ covfefe”推特消息——旨在解释和衡量特朗普的推文对美国利率波动的影响。(covfefe:是美国总统唐纳德·特朗普在推特上创造的一个新词,具体含义尚未查明。)

Of the more than 4,000 non-retweets from Trump’s personal Twitter account during market hours from the start of 2018 to now, 146 have reportedly moved the market.
Tweets from Trump have had an impact on the market, especially in regard to trade and financial policy, when they contain keywords such as “China,” “billion” and “products.”

据报道,从2018年初到现在,特朗普个人推特账户上的4000多条非转发消息中,有146条推动了市场的发展。
特朗普的推文对市场产生了影响,尤其是在贸易和金融政策方面,因为它们包含了“中国”、“亿”和“产品”等关键词

“We find strong evidence that tweets have increasingly moved U.S. rates markets immediately after publication,” the report states.
The index found that those posts from Trump are less likely to be liked or retweeted by Twitter users, according to CNBC.

报告指出: “我们发现有力的证据表明,推文在发表后立即对美国利率市场产生了越来越大的影响。”。
据CNBC报道,该指数发现,特朗普的这些消息不太可能被推特用户点赞或转发。

Trump last month frequently used his Twitter account to lambast the Federal Reserve and its chairman, Jerome Powell, and push for lower interest rates that he feels will further stimulate the economy.
“This makes rough sense as much of the president’s tweets have been focused on the Federal Reserve, and as trade tensions are broadly seen as, first and foremost, impactful on near-term economic performance and, likewise, the Fed’s reaction to such developments,” the report found.

上个月,特朗普频繁使用他的推特账户抨击美联储及其主席杰罗姆 · 鲍威尔 ,并推动降低利率,他认为这将进一步刺激经济。
报告发现,“总统的大部分推文都集中在美联储身上,而且人们普遍认为,贸易紧张局势首先会对近期经济表现产生影响,同样,也会影响美联储对此类事态发展的反应,因此这种说法大致合情合理。”

Trump has also used his account to knock China over the ongoing trade war between the two countries. He has remained adamant that the battle would cost China jobs and money over the long haul while defending his tariff policy.

特朗普还用自己的账户抨击中美两国之间正在进行的贸易战。 他仍然坚定地认为,这场战斗长期内将损失中国的就业机会和资金,同时为自己的关税政策辩护。

A majority of Trump’s market-impacting tweets come between noon and 2 p.m., with a 1 p.m. tweet about three times as likely to arrive at any other hour of the afternoon or evening, according to JPMorgan’s index.

根据摩根大通的索引,特朗普影响市场的推文大多发生在中午到下午2点之间,下午1点发布的推文是下午或晚上其他时间发布的推文的三倍。

网友评论:
Barnburner
It really says something when top economists have to track the ravings of our national village idiot because of the harm they do to the economy and business planning. - Like:48

当顶级经济学家不得不追踪我们国家乡村白痴的胡言乱语,这的确说明了一些问题,因为他对经济和商业规划造成了伤害。

irondrake
The Republicans are the equivalent of a guy slashing his own throat to spray blood in the face of someone who's offended him. - Like:11

共和党人就像一个割破自己喉咙的家伙,把鲜血喷在冒犯他的人脸上。

Griswald2
Trump and his criminal family are engaged in the biggest insider trading scam in US history. - Like:23

特朗普和他的犯罪家族卷入了美国历史上最大的内幕交易骗局。

Kai
I think that his lawyers could successfully argue that his tweets are official acts, and therefore he has absolute judicial immunity for those, but that wouldn't shield his associates. They're a pretty reliably venal crowd though, so it's sort of hard to imagine they would scruple to anything. - Like:3

我认为,他的律师可以成功地辩称,他的推文是官方行为,因此他对这些行为拥有绝对的司法豁免权,但这不会保护他的同伙。 他们是一群非常贪婪的人,所以很难想象他们会顾忌任何事情。

Kelly Curley
The SEC needs to audit every financial transaction of Trump associates.
He admitted he is manipulating the market with his remarks. - Like:16

证券交易委员会需要审计特朗普同伙的每一笔金融交易。
他承认自己的言论是在操纵市场。

avidavid
When a major investment firm needs to create a tool to specifically quantify how badly you f$&@ up the market with your online ramblings, you might be the $#!ttiest President in history. - Like:15

当一家大型投资公司需要创建一个工具,来具体量化你在网上的胡言乱语时,你可能就是史上最伟大的总统。

NYST
I've said for months that Trump is manipulating the market with BS news about the China trade negotiations. I'm sure his family and friends are trading on inside info - Like:14

几个月来,我一直在说,特朗普用有关中国贸易谈判的扯淡新闻操纵市场。
我敢肯定他的家人和朋友在利用内部消息交易

Humpty Trumpty
He saves millions if the Fed reduces the interest rates. Tariff wars are way to slow down growth and get the Fed to reduce the rate. - Like:5

如果美联储降低利率,他将节省数百万美元。 关税战是减缓经济增长和促使美联储降低利率的方法。

Sereal Chiller
Fourteen months until America votes to end this nightmare. - Like:19

14个月后,美国将投票结束这场噩梦。

irondrake
If Trump's tweets really are damaging the economy we may be able to get him removed from office faster. - Like:1

如果特朗普的推特真的在破坏经济,我们或许可以让他更快地下台。

40words
The SEC should investigate any of Trump’s market manipulation for personal gain. - Like:8

证交会应该调查特朗普为了个人利益操纵市场的任何行为。

Julia Kristensen
And friends! - Like:0

还有他的朋友们!

Jean Grey
Logically the next step would be to see if anybody close to Trump is illegally profiting from market shifts caused by his tweeting fckery. - Like:8

从逻辑上讲,下一步应该是看看特朗普身边是否有人从他发推特引发的市场剧变中非法获利。

koque
Black unemployment by presidents
Bush __ to 16%
Obama: 17% to 7.6% (9.4% decline)
Trump: 7.6% to 5.5% (2.1% decline)
Black Unemployment, Bureau of Labor Statistics:https://data.bls.gov/timese... - Like:6

各个总统对应的黑人失业率如下:
布什:16%
奥巴马: 17% 降到 7.6% (下降9.4%)
特朗普: 7.6% 降到 5.5% (下降2.1%)
资源来自美国劳工统计局的黑人失业率

Lee Tanner
"But The Blacks love me!!!" - Like:1

“但是黑人爱我! ! ! ”

Master_Rabbit
They really do. They won’t say it because they’ll be attacked but black me are going to vote for trump in record numbers. - Like:0

确实如此。 他们不会说出来,因为他们会受到攻击,但是我们黑人将以创纪录的人数投票支持特朗普。

Sam Gutts
It is a Federal crime to attempt to manipulate the stock market by using or revealing insider or inaccurate information from a position of influence.
Yet, the White House specifically said last week that Trump attempted to calm the markets via NitTwitter last week..
By lying. - Like:7

企图通过利用、透露有影响力的内部人士、或发布不准确的信息来操纵股票市场是联邦犯罪。
然而,白宫上周明确表示,特朗普上周试图通过推特平息市场...
通过撒谎的方式。

Daily Entropy
One of the only people that can sink the market with a tweet. - Like:5

他是唯一一个可以用一条推特毁掉整个市场的人。

Bill Perks
Obammy sank the market 25% by simply taking office. - Like:0

奥巴马仅仅上任就使市场下跌了25% 。

bread
While the economic backslide may have seemed to indicate that the American public was less than confident in their newly elected president, the dip was, instead, widely credited to a continued lack of confidence in the failing economy left behind by the previous administration. The market found a bottom in March 2009 and entered one of the longest bull markets in history. - Like:2

虽然经济下滑似乎表明美国公众对新当选的总统缺乏信心,但人们普遍认为,这种下滑是因为人们对上届政府留下的衰退中的经济仍缺乏信心。 2009年3月,股市触底了,之后就进入了历史上时间最长的牛市之一。

Daily Entropy
So he sank the market by doing nothing? - Like:0

那意思是说他什么都没做就毁了市场?

SGNH
First 3 years in office showed healthy increases in the market.Year 2 in office, the DOW slid over 8% under Trump. - Like:0

上任头三年,市场表现出健康的增长。 在特朗普执政的第二年,道琼斯指数下滑超过8% 。

Mental Don
Trumps bootlickers are really quite sad at this point defending the mental case sitting in the Oval Office.
Makes you wonder who’s more batshít crazy, his followers or him. - Like:5

现在他坐在椭圆形办公室里为自己的精神状况辩护,特朗普的马屁精们真的很伤心。
让你想知道到底谁更疯狂,他的追随者还是他。

Amanda
When I read the headline I actually thought that *this* story is satire.
Incredible. - Like:3

当我读到标题的时候,我真的认为这篇文章是讽刺的。
真没想到啊。

Julia Kristensen
Putin's laughing to the Bank.In 2020 The Russians are floating a Yuan Bond.On more step away from the US petro dollar. - Like:1

普京正对着银行大笑。2020年,俄罗斯将发行人民币债券。离美国的美元石油更远了。

Mitbert Strangejoy
Trump isn't smart enough to capture that opportunity. But I guarantee that Ivanka and Kushner are making a killing off of daddy Trump's twitter-diarrhea. - Like:4

特朗普不够聪明抓住这个机会。 但我敢保证,伊万卡和库什纳正在从特朗普爸爸的腹泻式推特中大赚一笔。

BaseRoks13
Read my posts, the other day I wrote how they got Musk for his 420 Tweet and that I hope after office they do the same to Trump. - Like:1

读读我的帖子,前几天我写了他们如何让马斯克发了420条推特,我希望他们在上任后也能这样对待特朗普。

Discrimination is not a right.
RULE NUMBER ONE: Trump lies
RULE NUMBER TWO: Trump tweets and lies - Like:4

规则一: 特朗普撒谎
规则二: 特朗普推特和撒谎

Jonas Kromwell
MAGH 2020!! Make Alabama Get Hurricanes!! - Like:4

Magh2020! ! 让阿拉巴马变成飓风! !

Peter G
Easy - a sharpie is all that is required. - Like:5

简单——只需要一个记号笔。

Jonas Kromwell
... that and a stable genius! - Like:4

还有一个稳重的天才!

You're Fired Dotard!
“America has spent approximately six trillion dollars in the Middle East, all this while our infrastructure at home is crumbling. With this six trillion dollars we could have rebuilt our country –- twice.”
trumpie lie #7089 - Like:4

“美国在中东花费了大约6万亿美元,而我们国内的基础设施正在崩溃。 有了这6万亿美元,我们本可以重建我们的国家——两次。”第7089个谎言

BaseRoks13
And a positive one a few days after - Like:0

几天之后又来一个积极的消息

Ralph
Well, at least trump now has some type of legacy - Like:4

好吧,至少特朗普现在有了某种遗产

Mr. Moderate
His “legacy” will be studied and debated by historians for decades... - Like:3

他的“遗产”将被历史学家研究和辩论几十年...

css
What will they name this 'era'? Conmanfefe Era? - Like:1

他们会给这个“时代”起什么名字?

You're Fired Dotard!
“When they [the news media] make stories up, when they create sources -- because I believe that sometimes they don't have sources, you know, the sources don't exist, and sometimes they do exist.”
trumpie lie #1636 - Like:4

“当他们(新闻媒体)编造故事,当他们创造消息来源时——因为我相信,有时他们没有消息来源,有时确实有。”
第1636号特式谎言

Thrill22cl
You people can say and think whatever you want but are we better with trump as a president? The answer is yes and the alternative was the establishment under the leadership of Hillary Clinton.
So instead of the hate how about thanking the millions of Americans that woke up and saved America for the time being? - Like:4

你们这些人想说什么就说什么,但是我们有特朗普当总统,说不定是更好的选择? 答案是肯定的,另一种选择是希拉里•克林顿领导下的建制派。
因此,与其憎恨,不如感谢那些醒悟过来并暂时拯救了美国的数百万美国人?

Thrill22cl
Great comment. Great, great, great!!!!!!!
People read this comment and do some INDEPENDENT THINKING!!!! - Like:1

很好的评论。好,很好,非常好!!!
人们读了这条评论,会做一些独立思考!!

You're Fired Dotard!
“You take a look at what's going on with the stock market. Trillions of dollars of value have been created since I won the election -- I mean, trillions.”
trumpie lie #47 - Like:3

“你可以看看股市的走势。 自从我赢得大选以来,已经创造了数万亿美元的价值——听清楚,数万亿美元。”第47号谎言

cynthiarous
The resiliency of the United States survived two World Wars, the Great Depression, the 1960's, 9 11 and subprime.....but will we survive Term Two of King Don of Orange? I don't know, America. I really don't....I have serious doubts...; - ) - Like:3

坚韧的美国经历了两次世界大战、大萧条、60年代、911事件和次贷危机.......但我们能挺过第二任橘子王·特朗普吗? 我不知道,美国。 我真的不... 我严重怀疑... ; -)

Bill Perks
The easiest way to tell if someone is a deranged, stalkerish leftist rube is to determine if they like to check posters’ profile settings. - Like:0

要判断一个人是否是一个精神错乱的左翼分子,最简单的方法就是确定他们是否喜欢点击查看评论者的个人资料。

ulTRAX
THIS IS VITAL... As a sleazy con man Trump HAS to know his tweets can move markets. He can alert friends and family to buy or sell. Congress has to investigate this further. - Like:2

这是至关重要的... 作为一个卑鄙的骗子,特朗普必须知道他的推文可以影响市场。 他可以提醒朋友和家人买卖股票。 国会必须对此进行进一步调查。

Mr. Moderate
Purposefully manipulating the market with false information, like with Trump’s fake “China called me tweet” from the G-7, is an abuse of power. It should also be investigated as to who made the big profits from this tweet and what connections they had. - Like:2

故意利用虚假信息操纵市场,比如特朗普在七国集团发布的假推文“中国和我通话了” ,就是滥用权力。 还应该调查谁从这条推特中获得了巨额利润,以及他们有什么关系。

ADKRambler
Trump insiders privy to when he's going to tweet, made a lot of money off this insider knowledge. - Like:2

特朗普内部人士知道他什么时候发推特,他们从这个内幕消息中赚了很多钱。

Bill Perks
The Clintons made a bundle on cattle futures. - Like:0

克林顿夫妇在牛的期货上赚了一大笔钱。

Zeus
🤦‍♂️ Trump is making the world stupider by the day - Like:2

川普正在让世界变得一天比一天愚蠢

Jimmy Roohster
Ouch!
Morgan doesn't like Trump, it seems.
Elect a new boss in 2020. - Like:2

哎哟!
摩根似乎不喜欢特朗普。2020年选举出一个新老板。

Julia Kristensen
Goldman Sach's organised the HSBC 450 billion to China the other day. - Like:0

高盛前几天组织汇丰银行向中国投资了4500亿美元。

alterego55
The Volfefe Index dropped 10 Twits yesterday after Trump tweeted about the Taliban. - Like:2

在特朗普发布有关塔利班的推文后,Volfefe指数昨天下跌了10推特。

S Rod
How much money have his friends and family made as a result? - Like:2

他的朋友和家人因此赚了多少钱?

John McGoldrick
Even Wall Street is mocking Trump. - Like:3

甚至华尔街也在嘲笑特朗普。

BaseRoks13
I been asking since last year was flat and have yet to receive an answer.I'm sure the words themselves are the trigger and midnight tweeting allows only certain clientele to do futures and sell early. - Like:1

我从去年开始就一直在问这个问题,但目前还没有得到答案。我敢肯定,这些推文本身就是导火索,半夜发的推文允许某些客户提前做好期货交易。

css
Seems more like they are mocking Trump and pissed that he keeps messing with the market. - Like:6

看起来他们更像是在嘲笑特朗普,并对他不断扰乱市场感到愤怒。

Kultong Dutertards
Diseases are reemerging in Los Angeles County, that we haven’t commonly seen since the Middle Ages. One of those is typhus, a disease carried by fleas that feed on rats, which in turn feed on the garbage and sewage that is prominent in people-packed “typhus zones.”
The challenge is to identify and treat the disease in resistant, hard-to-access populations, such as the homeless or the extremely poor in developing countries.
Gracias LibeRATS for bringing in disease-infested ILLEGALS from Central America & other 3rd world countries. - Like:1

恶性传染病正在洛杉矶重新出现,这是我们自中世纪以来从未见过的。 其中之一就是斑疹伤寒,这种病由老鼠身上的跳蚤传播,而老鼠又以人口密集的“斑疹伤寒地区”的垃圾和污水为食。
目前的困难是在流浪汉和一些发展中或贫困国家的移民人群中查明和治疗这种疾病。
感谢自由组织从中美洲和其他第三世界国家带来疾病肆虐的非法移民。

Dr. RightWing
Funny how Obama’s gaffes and deals with nations like Iran never raised an eyebrow with JP Morgan. Bias is pretty obvious here. - Like:1

有趣的是,奥巴马与伊朗这样的国家打交道时的失态,从来没有引起摩根大通的注意。 这里的偏见非常明显。

Julia Kristensen
And excuse me but there were other nations included in the Iran agreement. Why do you forget this. However China is just shrugging off Trump's sanctions and plugging the hole on trade with Iran.Trump is weakening the EU and America and he's being outplayed by Russia and China. - Like:0

不好意思,伊朗协议中还包括了其他国家。 你为什么忘了这个? 然而中国只是无视特朗普的制裁,堵住了与伊朗贸易的漏洞? 特朗普正在削弱欧盟和美国,他正在被俄罗斯和中国超越。

Julia Kristensen
China just received 450 billion in US$ from HSBC - aka the US Fed.That fixes the shibor problem they were facing and the market will have another happy day and Trump will take credit.And I will roll around laughing. - Like:1

中国刚刚从汇丰银行获得了4500亿美元,也就是美联储。 这解决了他们所面临的问题,市场将迎来又一个令人高兴的日子,特朗普将接受赞誉。 我会笑得直不起腰的。

Zip
HSBC is a British holding company and bank. - Like:1

汇丰银行是一家英国控股公司和银行。

Julia Kristensen
Cue sweetie, in trade still the US dollar is what they all need. The EU banks do the biggest transactions daily. xxRight now the Yuan hasn't taken over the $. - Like:0

宝贝,在交易中,美元仍然是他们所有人都需要的。 欧盟银行每天处理的交易量最大。 现在人民币还没有取代美元。

Dave
This “index” will be relevant for about a year at which point the orange buffoon will be voted out of office. - Like:1

这个“指数”将在大约一年的时间里有意义,届时这个橙色小丑将被投票罢免。

ballyb11
Trump is a loose cannon, a bull in a china shop.
He just fires off these these tweets with no concern for their impact on the markets.
I promise you some people, some family members, are profiting from advance knowledge of them.
100% guaranteed. - Like:1

特朗普是一个我行我素的人,是一头闯进瓷器店的公牛。
他只是发了这些推文,并不关心它们对市场的影响。
我向你保证,一些人,一些家庭成员,事先了解将让他们从中获利。
我100% 保证。

John J Guy
This isn't even funny anymore because the consequences are real...
...Maybe JP Morgan should also send Trump the Bill for all of the financial instability that his idiotic Tweeting causes! - Like:1

这一点都不好笑,因为后果是真实的...
也许摩根大通也应该为特朗普愚蠢的推特,造成的金融不稳定买单!

Bill Perks
Under Trump, the Dow has gone from 19,983 to 26,797, a 35% increase. This beats the crisply creased pants off of Obammy and it’s a great thing for America. - Like:2

在特朗普的领导下,道琼斯指数从19983点上涨到26797点,涨幅为35% 。 这比奥巴马脱下的皱巴巴的裤子好多了,这对美国来说是一件好事。

Jean Grey
Under Obama, the S&P 500 grew by 56.4%. The Dow Jones Industrials Average was up 50.6% and the Nasdaq, 92.9%.
The numbers under Trump were 21.4% for the S&P 500, 25.2% for the Dow, and 34.2% for Nasdaq.
Ouch. - Like:2

在奥巴马的领导下,标准普尔500指数增长了56.4% 。 道琼斯工业平均指数上涨50.6% ,纳斯达克上涨92.9% 。
而在特朗普的领导下,标准普尔500指数为21.4% ,道琼斯指数为25.2% ,纳斯达克指数为34.2% 。

Cheyenne
Credit for what? Coal is dead, he's trashed farming and trucking, and the jobs he's brought back are all minimum wage. BTW he overstated the number of new jobs by 500,000. He's a fraud, a conman and a pathological liar. I'll give him credit for that. - Like:0

什么信用? 煤炭已经完蛋了,他把农业和货车运输都毁了,他带回来的工作机会都是最低工资。 顺便说一句,他把新增就业岗位的数量夸大了50万个。 他是个骗子,彻头彻尾的骗子。 这一点我要佩服他。

Wagon Wheels
Trump may indeed be the chosen one. The man (if he is indeed only a mere man) is basically God-like with the power and influence he has over the affairs of men. Just sending his thoughts in less than 180 characters can instantly send millions of TDS sufferers into epileptic fits of rage. What an Olympic level of power. Zeus had thunderbolts and Trump has tweets, both with the same devastating effect. Both prolific womanizers and lovers of justice. Both with awesome, unstoppable influence and powers. Woe unto them who dare cross Him. - Like:1

特朗普可能确实是天选之人。 他基本上就像上帝一样,拥有人类事务的权力和影响力。 只要用不到180个字符发送他的想法,就可以立即让数百万的TDS(特朗普精神错乱综合征)患者陷入疯狂。奥林匹克级别的力量。 宙斯有雷电,而特朗普有推文,两者都具有同样的毁灭性影响。 既是多产的花花公子,又是正义的拥护者。 两者都有着令人敬畏的、不可阻挡的影响力和力量。 敢得罪他的人遭殃了。

Humpty Trumpty
And those afflicted with Trump Worship Syndrome would bid up tulip bulbs if he tweeted that they were valuable. - Like:1

如果特朗普在推特上说郁金香的球茎很有价值,那些患有特朗普崇拜综合症的人就会抬高郁金香球茎的价格。

Sereal Chiller
Remember when Republicans agreed that African Americans should be compensated for being hurt by government policies? You can't remember because the only time Republicans heads didn't explod over hand outs was when Trump used them to compensate farmers for his trade war. - Like:1

共和党人认为非洲裔美国人应该得到补偿,因为受到政府政策的伤害,还记得吗? 你不记得了,因为共和党领导人唯一一次没有因为施舍而受到指责,是特朗普用这些施舍来补偿贸易战中的农民。

repugnicant
Makes no sense why the market would react to Trump tweets on China. They ALL know Trump can't win his trade war. - Like:0

市场为什么会对特朗普关于中国的推文做出反应,这毫无道理。毕竟他们都知道特朗普赢不了贸易战。

Peter 5000
Every time Trump tweets about raising tariffs or lowering interest rates, the Dow drops.
Every single time. - Like:0

每一次特朗普发推文提高关税或降低利率,道琼斯指数就会下跌。每一次。

Gunny Mc Gunface
Trump is a trend setter. Covfefe, whether you like it or not set the internet alight. I don’t know of anyone else that could get even half the coverage from one word in a tweet. - Like:0

特朗普是引领潮流的人。 不管你喜不喜欢,“Covfefe”都会点亮互联网。
我不知道还有谁能从一条推文中的一个词,获得半数的新闻报道。

Shareef Don't Like It
ACLU sues Trump administration for records from botched Yemen raid
Lawsuit seeks to enforce freedom of information request on decision-making process that led to controversial killings of up to 25 civilians and one Navy Seal - Like:0

美国公民自由联盟起诉特朗普政府,要求提供也门袭击失败的记录
这起诉讼旨在强制执行决策中的信息自由要求,该决策导致多达25名平民和一名海豹突击队员遭到有争议的杀害

Shareef Don't Like It
JPMorgan creates 'Volfefe index' to measure Trump tweets' impact on market
This is actually not a bad idea. - Like:0

摩根大通推出“ Volfefe 指数”衡量特朗普推文对市场的影响
这实际上不是一个坏主意。

Limey
Didn't build on that, so where was the market when obama left? - Like:0

没有建立在这个基础上,那么奥巴马离开的时候市场在哪里呢?

Friday
Same as it is with every presidency. You sound confused. - Like:0

每届总统都是这样,你听上去很困惑的样子。

Friday
He was attacking the Fed in December 18, something no president has done, or should do since its job is dependent on acting independently and without direction from the WH. Trump stopped attacking them long enough for the markets to recover. - Like:0

特朗普在12月18日攻击了美联储,没有一位总统做过这样的事,或者说应该做这样的事,因为美联储是独立行动的,没有来自白宫的指示。特朗普停止攻击他们的时间足够让市场恢复。

Thrill22cl
Im still waiting for the hill to piblish an article about the illegal fisa warrants. - Like:0

我还在等国会发表一篇,关于非法外国情报监听授权的文章。

Julia Kristensen
Trump can't have it both ways. He takes credit when the market is good, so fair enough he gets the blame when its bad! - Like:0

特朗普不可能两全其美。 当市场好的时候,他获得好评,当市场不好的时候,他受到责备!

Friday
Time to start looking into whether Trump's close friends are making investments just prior to Trump sending out tweets that pump and dump the markets. - Like:0

是时候开始调查特朗普的亲密朋友,在特朗普发推特之前是否正在进行投资了。

Bill Perks
Investigate China. - Like:0

调查中国。

Djin_and_tonic
Trump couldn't Tweet near as fast if he had normal sized hands. - Like:0

如果特朗普有一双正常大小的手,他发推特的速度就没那么快了。

Djin_and_tonic
Trump promised us that he'd get them paid off in eight years. He should get started, don't you think? - Like:0

特朗普向我们承诺,他会在八年内让他们得到回报。他应该开始做了,你不觉得吗?

Friday
When it was higher or lower doesn't change the lack of growth. 1% is not good. - Like:0

无论是高还是低,都不能改变增长乏力的状况。 1% 不是好事。

Bill Perks
All presidents move the market one way or another. For example, Obammy moved the Dow to a multiyear low in his first term from which it didn’t recover into the double digits for the better part of a year. - Like:0

所有的总统都会以不同的方式影响市场。 例如,奥巴马在他的第一个任期内将道琼斯指数降到了多年来的最低点,但在一年中的大部分时间里,道琼斯指数都没有恢复两个点。

ballyb11
5 weeks ago in the middle of the day Trump said he was gonna impose more taxes on China 9/1 ---- Dow immediately dropped 500 points.
12 days later in the middle of the day Trump said he was gonna delay the taxes on China til after Christmas ---- Dow immediately rose 350 points. - Like:3

5周前,就在特朗普表示9月1日将对中国征收更多税收的当天,道琼斯指数立即下跌500点。
12天后,当天中午,特朗普表示,他将把中国征税的时间推迟到圣诞节后,道琼斯指数立即上涨350点。

The dude
Defending The Chosen One is job one.- The Cultinista - Like:4

为天选之子辩护是我们的工作之一

WhisperOfTheMasterMinds
Economy always has done better under liberal policies, Bill Clinton left office with an incredible economy and a budget surplus. It took the illigitanate president Bush 7 years to crash that economy. - Like:0

在自由主义政策下,经济总是表现得更好,比尔 · 克林顿离任时,经济状况令人难以置信,预算还有盈余。而布什总统花了7年时间才使美国经济崩溃。

Username not available
Whether it's Trump, the Federal Reserve, or Elon Musk, lots of people use positive remarks to drive the stock market because when investors see trouble, they stop investing.Meaning, much of the stock market depends on opinions and your own feelings about risk.With the stock market so tuned-in to subjective feelings, it's a wonder why we've strapped our entire economy to Wall Street's back. - Like:0

无论是特朗普、美联储还是麦斯克,很多人都会用正面的言论来推动股市,因为当投资者看到麻烦时,他们就会停止投资。 也就是说,股市在很大程度上取决于你对风险的看法和感受。 随着股市对主观感受变得如此敏感,我们为什么要把整个经济系在华尔街的背上,这真是奇怪的问题。

Q_Impact
Putin's lapdog is destroying America in more ways than one. Financially, economically, diplomatically, and a threat to our security. - Like:0

普京的走狗正在以不止一种方式摧毁美国。 财政上,经济上,外交上,以及对我们安全的威胁。

EM 1894
You mean Trump is that powerful that a tweet can impact the financial market. I don’t think there’s ever been a president with that much power. - Like:0

你的意思是特朗普有那么大的影响力,一条推文就能影响金融市场。 我认为从来没有一个总统拥有这么大的权力。

RogueBeast
Market-moving tweets are more a reflection of stupidity of the market makers and their absurd algorithms, than of Trump. - Like:0

与特朗普相比,影响市场的推文更多地反映了做市商的愚蠢和他们荒谬的算法。

Curious
Along with all of the "patriot farmers" who are going bankrupt. - Like:4

还有所有即将破产的“爱国农民”。

FakeNooz is Enemy#1
So many many more farmers are doing very well - Like:0

还有很多农民生活得很好

Curious
U.S. farmers in the Midwest are filing for bankruptcy at levels the U.S. hasn’t seen for approximately a decade, the Wall Street Journal reports.
What's happening: Low commodity prices have been gouging U.S. farmers’ bottom lines for years now, exacerbated by increasing agricultural competition from Russia and Brazil. President Trump’s trade disputes, meanwhile, are adding salt to the wounds, as tariffs drive down prices and decrease profit for farmers.
By the numbers:
In the 7th Circuit Court of Appeals, which includes Illinois, Indiana and Wisconsin, twice as many farmers declared bankruptcy in 2018 as during the 2008 recession.
In the 8th Circuit, which spans from North Dakota to Arkansas, bankruptcies shot up 96%.
In the 10th Circuit, which includes Kansas, Colorado and parts of Oklahoma, bankruptcies were up 59%. Together, these three jurisdictions accounted for nearly 50% of all farm product sales in 2017, per the Journal.
Last year, farm debt rose to over $409 billion, with the average size of loans in the 4th quarter reaching $74,190, the highest 4th quarter level in history. - Like:1

据《华尔街日报》报道,美国中西部地区的农民申请破产的程度是近十年来美国所未见的。
发生了什么:多年来,低廉的商品价格一直在侵蚀美国农民的底线,俄罗斯和巴西日益激烈的农业竞争更是雪上加霜。 与此同时,特朗普总统的贸易争端正在往伤口上撒盐,因为关税压低了价格,降低了农民的利润。
从数字上看:在包括伊利诺伊州、印第安纳州和威斯康星州在内的第七巡回上诉法院,2018年宣布破产的农民人数是2008年经济衰退期间的两倍。
在从北达科他州到阿肯色州的第八巡回上诉法院,破产案激增了96% 。
在包括堪萨斯州、科罗拉多州和俄克拉荷马州部分地区在内的第十巡回法院,破产案增加了59% 。 据《华尔街日报》报道,2017年,这三个地区的农产品总销售额占全国总销售额的近50% 。
去年,农业债务上升到4090亿美元,第四季度的平均贷款规模达到74190美元,是历史上第四个季度的最高水平。

Curious
American farmers have become collateral damage in a trade war that Trump began to help manufacturers and other companies that he believes have been hurt by China’s “unfair” trade practices.
More than a year into the trade dispute, sales of American soybeans, pork, wheat and other agricultural products to China have dried up as Beijing retaliates against Trump’s tariffs on Chinese imports. Lucrative contracts that farmers long relied on for a significant source of income have evaporated, with Chinese buyers looking to other nations like Brazil and Canada to get the commodities they need. Farm bankruptcy filings in the year through June were up 13% from 2018 and loan delinquency rates are on the rise, according to the American Farm Bureau. - Like:0

在这场贸易战中,美国农民已经受到了间接伤害 ,特朗普开始帮助制造商和其他公司,他认为这些公司受到了中国“不公平”贸易行为的伤害。
这场贸易战已经持续了一年多,随着北京对特朗普进行报复,美国向中国出口的大豆、猪肉、小麦和其他农产品已经完蛋。 随着中国买家转向巴西和加拿大等其他国家以获得他们所需要的大宗商品,农民长期以来作为重要收入来源的合同已经消失。 根据美国农业局的数据,截至今年6月,农场破产申请比2018年增加了13% ,贷款拖欠率也在上升。

FakeNooz is Enemy#1
All farmers. Trump is the only politician to take on China.Feinstein, through her chairing committees has helped Chinaand her husband was handsomely compensated.Trump & China will help US farmers -- Be patient -- - Like:0

所有的农民。 特朗普是唯一一个挑战中国的政治家。 范斯坦通过她主持的委员会帮助了中国,她的丈夫得到了丰厚的补偿。 特朗普和中国将帮助美国农民——我们耐心点

Curious
How is the Chosen One going to help the farmers who have gone bankrupt and had to sell of their farm?
Is he going to personally give them enough money to buy them back? - Like:0

天选之子将如何帮助那些已经破产、不得不出售农场的农民?
他会亲自给他们足够的钱把他们的农场买回来吗?

FakeNooz is Enemy#1
Farmers need a back up crop they can switch toif there are market changes -- Trump is out selling product to alot of countries right now. You should maybe switch to Samsung instead of iphone if you're really worried - Like:0

农民需要一种备用作物,如果市场发生变化,他们可以转而使用---- 特朗普现在正在向许多国家出售产品。 如果你真的很担心,你也许应该换成三星,而不是 iphone

Curious
You can't just switch out crops in the middle of the growing season. - Like:0

你不能在生长季节中间就把庄稼换掉。

FakeNooz is Enemy#1
you can rotate for the next season,or keep growing the same crop and whine like the libbieswho wanna blame 45 for Crooked China deliberately tryingto interfere with the 2020 election - Like:0

你可以在下个季节轮换,或者继续种植同样的作物,像那些指责中国干扰2020年选举的自由主义者一样发牢骚

Curious
But you think it's cool for the Chosen One to blackmail the Ukraine into interfering with the 2020 election on his behalf, don't you? - Like:0

但是你认为天选之子以他的名义勒索干涉乌克兰2020年的选举很酷,不是吗?

civet
I'll be sure not to vote for him - Like:1

我肯定不会投他的票

civet
Obama cannot be VP. There is an amendment that covers that. - Like:0

奥巴马不可能成为副总统,有一项修正案涵盖了这一点。

booboo
It would be nice if the media reported the news honestly
Then your President would not be forced to go to Twitter - Like:0

如果媒体能如实报道新闻就好了
这样你们的总统就不会被迫使用推特了

thisguy
lmao Trump is a lying sack of orange...remember when he said China was desperate to make a deal? then China said it was a lie Trump made up? anyone who believes Trump is mentally ill. - Like:1

哈哈 特朗普就是一个满口谎言的橙色袋子... 还记得他说过中国迫切希望达成协议吗?
然后中国说这是特朗普编造的谎言? 任何相信特朗普的人都有精神疾病。

amightywind
You can make a lot of money on Trump tweets! - Like:0

你可以通过特朗普的推特赚很多钱!