[2023-10-21]Quora问答：为什么哈马斯认为攻击拥有核武器且与美国结盟的以色列是个好主意?

India was occupied by British for almost 200 years. Indian fought for freedom for decades. Most of the time it was non-violent movement and sometimes it was violent. But, everytime Indians used violent means was against british forces and police. They didn’t just rampaged in british colonies and killed british women and children who are unarmed.
If Hamas thinks by killing random jewish children and women they are leading a freedom fighter movement, then they are wrong. That’s purely a terrorism.
Now, question is why do they do this when they know the opposition is so powerful. The reason is in Islam. They think Every non-Muslims have no right to exist. By killing infidels, they will get their seat confirmed in Heaven where 72 virgins will be given. They are doing this just because their religion sanctions such atrocities against non-believers. They also believe that, Allah will save them. No powerful force on earth can defeat them because they are chanting “Allahu Akbar”.
This isn’t a freedom movement, its act of terrorism.

【回答】研究人员 2018年 - 至今
印度被英国占领了近两百年。几十年来，印度人为自由而战。大部分时间是非暴力运动，有时是暴力运动。但是，印度人每次使用暴力手段都是针对英国军队和警察。他们并没有在英国殖民地横冲直撞，杀害手无寸铁的英国妇女和儿童。
如果哈马斯认为随意杀害犹太儿童和妇女就是在领导一场自由战士运动，那他们就错了。那纯粹是恐怖主义。
现在的问题是，既然他们知道对方这么强大，为什么还要这样做呢？原因就在于伊斯兰教。他们认为所有非穆斯林都没有生存的权利。通过屠杀异教徒，他们将在天堂获得 72 个处女。他们之所以这样做，只是因为他们的宗教认可对非信徒的这种暴行。他们还相信，真主会拯救他们。因为他们高呼 "真主至大"，所以认为世界上没有任何强大的力量可以打败他们。
这不是自由运动，而是恐怖主义行为。

Paul Anthony Lives in Washington, DC 1999–present
What do nuclear weapons have to do with this equation? Israel isn't going to drop a nuke on Gaza. Not only would that eliminate 2 million innocent people, it would irradiate a significant portion of Israel.
Funnily enough, Hamas would LOVE Israel to do that because this is in the manual.
The point of the attack is to create a strong overreaction by Israel. That overaction is going to kill civilians in orders of magnitude more than dead Israelis. Seeing those images will make sympathizers into activists and observers into sympathizers. The greater the overaction, the better for Hamas.
This is how every small force vs large force conflict has ever gone. The American Revolution did not start with the Boston Tea Party but with the Boston Massacre. In Ireland, it was Bloody Sunday. How did peace finally come about in Ireland? When the British stopped reacting to the acts of violence with violence. When terrorists can no longer provoke the response that gains sympathy, it simply looks like terrorism.

【回答】住在华盛顿特区 1999年 - 至今
核武器跟这个等式有什么关系？以色列不会向加沙投下核弹。那样做不仅会消灭 200 万无辜民众，还会辐照以色列大部分地区。
有趣的是，哈马斯非常希望以色列这样做，因为这在手册之上。
袭击的目的是要引起以色列的强烈过激反应。这种过激反应造成的平民死亡人数将远远超过以色列人的死亡人数。看到这些画面，同情者会变成积极分子，旁观者会变成同情者。反应越激烈，对哈马斯越有利。
每一次小部队与大部队的冲突都是这样发生的。美国革命并非始于波士顿茶党，而是始于波士顿大屠杀。在爱尔兰，是 "血腥星期天"。爱尔兰最终是如何实现和平的？当英国人不再以暴制暴的时候。当恐怖分子无法再激起人们的同情时，这些行为就看起来像恐怖主义了。

Dixit Lives in Auckland, New Zealand 1900–present
Desperation.
For years, the Arab states have been moving towards normalizing relations with Israel. Hamas counts upon the support of Arab states, both material and financial, to exist since it has very limited means of its own. Even what comes from Iran has to be routed through Arab states since Iran doesn’t share a border with any part of Israel/Palestine, and there is no airport in Gaza to fly in the supplies. Arab support and cooperation are essential to the survival of Hamas.
Normalized Arab-Israeli relations would be the coup de grace for Hamas and the “Palestinian liberation” movement since a precondition of normalized relations with Israel would be ceasing support to Hamas.
Part of the reason why Arab states were warming up to Israel was that Arab leaders have been losing faith in the Palestinian forces for decades now, and an improvement for the Palestinians was nowhere in sight.

【回答】住在新西兰奥克兰，1960年 - 至今
绝望.
多年来，阿拉伯国家一直在努力实现与以色列的关系正常化。哈马斯依靠阿拉伯国家的物质和财政支持才能生存，因为它自己的手段非常有限。即使是来自伊朗的物资也必须经过阿拉伯国家，因为伊朗与以色列/巴勒斯坦的任何地区都不接壤，加沙也没有机场可以空运物资。阿拉伯国家的支持与合作对哈马斯的生存至关重要。
阿以关系正常化将是哈马斯和 "巴勒斯坦解放 "运动的致命一击，因为与以色列关系正常化的先决条件就是停止对哈马斯的支持。
阿拉伯国家向以色列示好的部分原因是，几十年来，阿拉伯领导人一直对巴勒斯坦武装力量失去信心，巴勒斯坦人的状况改善遥遥无期。

Regardless of where you stand on this conflict, it's hard to argue that Palestinian forces have had much in the way of success recently (or ever, for that matter), having lost land to Israel almost continuously since Israel's inception. The reasons for this are not surprising. Palestine isn't really even a nation at this point, it's two paltry strips of impoverished land run by a corrupt elite and barely educated militants with no resources of their own. They are facing a prosperous, well-organized nation-state with a highly competent military and the direct support of the world's premier powers. It was never going to turn out well for them.

无论你对这场冲突持何种立场，都很难说巴勒斯坦武装最近（或者说曾经）取得了多大的成功，因为自以色列成立以来，他们几乎就一直向以色列丢失土地。其原因并不奇怪。在这一点上，巴勒斯坦甚至算不上一个真正的国家，它只是由腐败的精英和受教育程度不高、自身资源匮乏的激进分子管理的两片微不足道的贫困土地。他们面对的是一个繁荣昌盛、组织严密的民族国家，拥有精良的军队和世界主要大国的直接支持。他们的结果绝不会好。

And I suppose the Arabs were tired of tying their money up in so clearly a lost cause. Oh sure, they still outwardly broadcast support for Palestine for religious reasons and internal appeasement (most Arab Muslims are extremely against any rapprochement with Israel), but I suspect they have been planning a move away from being active stakeholders in the Israel-Palestine conflict for a while.
So why the attack from Hamas now? Well, it's an apparent attempt to sabotage the normalization of relations across the ME, which would have sounded the death knell for them. I cannot imagine the Hamas leadership would stand idle and let the war coffers they plunder empty out. So they attacked Israel, performing the attack in a way that would cause the most severe reaction from the Israelis. Massacring Jews, abducting Jews, the whole shebang! They were trying to force Israel into the largest possible retaliation against them (they might have succeeded), thereby forcing the Arab powers into taking a stance against said Israeli retaliation. That's my only explanation for this attack. Otherwise, the immediate tactical value of killing a few hundred Israeli civilians eludes me.
And it seems to have worked…for now.

我想，阿拉伯人已经厌倦了把他们的钱绑在一个显然是失败的事业上。当然，出于宗教原因和内部绥靖（大多数阿拉伯穆斯林极力反对与以色列达成任何和解），他们仍然对外宣称支持巴勒斯坦，但我怀疑他们早就计划不再积极参与以巴冲突了。
那么，为什么哈马斯现在要发动攻击呢？这显然是企图破坏整个中东地区的关系正常化，而这将为他们敲响丧钟。我无法想象哈马斯领导层会袖手旁观，任由他们掠夺的战争财库耗尽。因此，他们袭击了以色列，以引起以色列人最强烈反应的方式袭击。屠杀犹太人、绑架犹太人，无所不用其极！他们试图迫使以色列对他们进行最大规模的报复（他们可能成功了），从而迫使阿拉伯各国采取反对以色列报复的立场。这是我对这次袭击的唯一解释。否则，杀死几百名以色列平民的直接战术价值我就无法理解了。
而且这招还挺管用... 目前看来。

Henri Smith Specialized in Patterns of Organizational Behaviour
Regardless of what happened NEXT, Hamas had already won. Hamas never harbour the illusion that they can defeat Israel. They always understood that Israel will retaliate by killing them, their people and inflicting more devastation on their land.
Despite an all powerful opponent supported by the United States and Europe, Hamas had succceeded in launching a multi-faceted invasion - involving land, air and sea forces - into Israel at multiple points. In that invasion, Hamas had seized territories and hostages.
In that attack, Hamas has demonstrated the ability to plan and execute complex military plans in secrecy. More IMPoRTANTLY:, Hamas’s actions will:
* inspire similar such actions in the future; AND
* ithe wider Muslim world where the Americans and NATO allies had occupied Muslim lands and killed and dislocated tens of millions of them
Hamas courage will now mark a turning in the Muslim world where they will likely be inspired to push the Western world and their brutal white supremacist ideology of hate and oppression out of their land.
The courage of Hamas against Hate and Oppression
will surely be celebrated for all times.

【回答】组织行为模式专业
无论接下来发生了什么，哈马斯都已经赢了。哈马斯从不幻想他们能打败以色列。他们始终明白，以色列会通过杀害他们、他们的人民以及在他们的土地上造成更多破坏来进行报复。
尽管有一个得到美国和欧洲支持的强大对手，哈马斯还是成功地在多个地点对以色列发动了涉及陆海空多方面的进攻。在这次进攻中，哈马斯夺取了领土和人质。
在这次进攻中，哈马斯展示了秘密策划和执行复杂军事计划的能力。更重要的是，哈马斯的行动将：
* 鼓励今后采取类似的行动；
* 在更广阔的穆斯林世界里，美国人和北约盟国占领了穆斯林的土地，杀害了数以千万计的穆斯林，使他们流离失所。
哈马斯的勇气现在将标志着穆斯林世界的一个转折，他们很可能会受到鼓舞，将西方世界及其残暴的白人至上主义仇恨和压迫意识形态赶出他们的土地。
哈马斯反抗仇恨和压迫的勇气，必将被世人传颂。

Bora Taş Lives in The Netherlands
It is funny people still think Israel needs an excuse to bomb Palestinians. Israel keeps Palestine under occupation despite multiple UN resolutions and is running an apartheid regime.
The most infuriating thing as a Dutch citizen is that European leaders who preach about morality all the time are talking about Israel’s “right to defend itself”.
So Israel kills and displaces Palestinians anyway. Hamas today falsified “all knowing MOSSAD” and “all competent IDF” memes. It also ruined Saudi-Israeli normalization talks (especially considering Israel will bomb a lot of civilian buildings to look tough).
Israel failed to prevent such an attack from a tiny territory they kept under blockade. A territory which they also spent a sizable fraction of their state’s resources on surveilling. Hamas is not a strong force at all. Yet it doubled the Gaza Strip in a day. Hamas is going to lose but Israel’s reputation is irreversibly damaged regardless of how many people they kill after this.

【回答】住在荷兰
有趣的是，人们仍然认为以色列需要一个轰炸巴勒斯坦人的借口。以色列不顾联合国多项决议，继续占领巴勒斯坦，并实行种族隔离制度。
作为荷兰公民，最让我气愤的是，整天宣扬道德的欧洲领导人却在谈论以色列的 "自卫权"。
所以，以色列无论如何都要杀害和驱逐巴勒斯坦人。哈马斯今天证明了 "无所不知的摩萨德 "和 "无所不能的以色列国防军 "就是个假的段子。它还破坏了沙特和以色列的正常化谈判（特别是考虑到以色列会轰炸大量民用建筑来显示强硬）。
以色列未能阻止来自其封锁的一小块领土的此类袭击。他们还花费了相当一部分国家资源来监视这片领土。哈马斯根本不是一支强大的力量。但它却在一天之内将加沙地带扩大了一倍。虽然哈马斯将会失败，但以色列的声誉受到了不可逆转的损害，无论他们在此之后杀了多少人。

Nikolai Karlovich Lives in Russia
Hamas and other Palestinian militias excuated a well planned assault on the Israeli occupied territories of Gaza catching the Israelis completely by surprise.
Hamas militants using paragliders to inflitrate behind enemy lines
Those who are calling the HAMAS a terrorist organisation and that HAMAS is commiting terrorist attacks aganist the “poor Jews”. When Chechen terrorists captured and killed Russian civilians, the entire West shouted that they were “freedom fighters, not terrorists”! Let that sink in! This is Palestinians rising up aganist a colonial master who has been oppressing them for many years and now they have formed a resistance to take back there rightful land.